Crowd Predictions

Based on 357 brackets · Last computed Jun 28, 6:18 PM

Who Wins It All?

1Spain
15.1%
2England
8.7%
3Argentina
7%
4Brazil
5%
5Colombia
4.8%
6Belgium
4.8%
7Morocco
4.5%
8Portugal
4.5%
9France
4.2%
10Croatia
3.6%

Stage-by-Stage Advancement

Final · 28 teams
Spain
15.1%
England
8.7%
Argentina
7%
Brazil
5%
Colombia
4.8%
Belgium
4.8%
Morocco
4.5%
Portugal
4.5%
France
4.2%
Croatia
3.6%
Netherlands
3.6%
Germany
3.4%
Canada
2.8%
Uruguay
2.8%
Senegal
2.8%
Turkey
2.5%
Semifinals · 34 teams
Spain
19.3%
Argentina
16.5%
England
12.3%
Portugal
10.6%
Morocco
10.6%
France
10.6%
Belgium
10.1%
Germany
8.7%
Senegal
8.7%
Brazil
8.4%
Netherlands
7.8%
Colombia
7%
Mexico
6.4%
Canada
5%
Turkey
5%
Iran
4.2%
Round of 16 · 40 teams
France
46.8%
England
44.8%
Argentina
42.3%
Spain
41.2%
Portugal
38.1%
Brazil
37.8%
Belgium
35.9%
Netherlands
31.9%
Senegal
31.1%
Turkey
27.2%
United States
26.9%
Morocco
25.5%
Croatia
25.5%
Colombia
23.8%
Mexico
22.1%
Switzerland
22.1%
Round of 32 · 43 teams
England
74.2%
Spain
68.1%
France
67.8%
Belgium
65.3%
Senegal
64.1%
Portugal
63.9%
Argentina
63.3%
Mexico
62.5%
Germany
58%
Brazil
56.6%
South Korea
56.6%
Colombia
52.7%
United States
52.4%
Switzerland
50.7%
Netherlands
50.4%
Croatia
50.1%
Quarterfinals · 37 teams
France
31.9%
Spain
28.9%
England
26.6%
Argentina
24.4%
Brazil
18.2%
Belgium
17.9%
Portugal
16%
Senegal
15.4%
Croatia
15.4%
Netherlands
14.8%
Colombia
14%
Morocco
13.7%
Germany
13.4%
Switzerland
13.4%
Mexico
12%
Turkey
10.4%

Group Predictions

Group A
TeamAvg PosWin %Adv %
Mexico1.278.7%
93.3%
South Korea1.914.8%
88.2%
Czechia3.10%
5.3%
South Africa3.80%
0.3%
Group B
TeamAvg PosWin %Adv %
Switzerland1.184.6%
92.7%
Canada2.09%
88%
Qatar3.30%
5.9%
Bosnia and Herzegovina3.70%
0.6%
Group C
TeamAvg PosWin %Adv %
Brazil1.459.4%
93.6%
Morocco1.634.2%
93.6%
Scotland3.00%
0%
Haiti4.00%
0%
Group D
TeamAvg PosWin %Adv %
United States1.463.3%
85.2%
Turkey2.026.3%
71.7%
Australia2.73.9%
29.4%
Paraguay3.90%
0.8%
Group E
TeamAvg PosWin %Adv %
Germany1.091.3%
93.6%
Ecuador2.12.2%
84%
Ivory Coast2.90%
9%
Curacao4.00%
0.6%
Group F
TeamAvg PosWin %Adv %
Netherlands1.186.3%
93.6%
Japan1.97.3%
92.4%
Sweden3.20%
1.1%
Tunisia3.80%
0%
Group G
TeamAvg PosWin %Adv %
Belgium1.184.9%
93.3%
Iran2.28.1%
71.4%
Egypt2.80.3%
22.1%
New Zealand4.00.3%
0.3%
Group H
TeamAvg PosWin %Adv %
Spain1.091.6%
93.6%
Uruguay2.02%
93%
Saudi Arabia3.40%
0%
Cape Verde3.60%
0.6%
Group I
TeamAvg PosWin %Adv %
France1.091.3%
93.6%
Senegal2.02.2%
92.4%
Norway3.00%
1.1%
Iraq3.90%
0%
Group J
TeamAvg PosWin %Adv %
Argentina1.093.6%
93.6%
Austria2.30%
64.7%
Algeria2.70%
28.9%
Jordan4.00%
0%
Group K
TeamAvg PosWin %Adv %
Portugal1.187.7%
93.6%
Colombia2.05.6%
92.4%
Uzbekistan3.10%
0%
DR Congo3.90.3%
1.1%
Group L
TeamAvg PosWin %Adv %
England1.181.5%
93.6%
Croatia1.911.8%
93%
Panama3.00.3%
0.6%
Ghana4.00%
0%

Knockout Match Probabilities

Match #1
Mexico100%
South Africa0%
Match #2
South Korea94.6%
Czechia5.4%
Match #3
Canada100%
Bosnia and Herzegovina0%
Match #4
United States100%
Paraguay0%
Match #5
Haiti1.5%
Scotland98.5%
Match #6
Australia24.6%
Turkey75.4%
Match #7
Brazil63.5%
Morocco36.5%
Match #8
Qatar0.6%
Switzerland99.4%
Match #9
Ivory Coast10.2%
Ecuador89.8%
Match #10
Germany100%
Curacao0%
Match #11
Netherlands92.2%
Japan7.8%
Match #12
Sweden78.4%
Tunisia21.6%
Match #13
Saudi Arabia0.6%
Uruguay99.4%
Match #14
Spain100%
Cape Verde0%
Match #15
Iran99.4%
New Zealand0.6%
Match #16
Belgium99.4%
Egypt0.6%
Match #17
France97.6%
Senegal2.4%
Match #18
Iraq6%
Norway94%
Match #19
Argentina100%
Algeria0%
Match #20
Austria100%
Jordan0%
Match #21
Ghana0.9%
Panama99.1%
Match #22
England87.4%
Croatia12.6%
Match #23
Portugal99.7%
DR Congo0.3%
Match #24
Uzbekistan0.9%
Colombia99.1%
Match #25
Czechia80.5%
South Africa19.5%
Match #26
Switzerland99.1%
Bosnia and Herzegovina0.9%
Match #27
Canada94%
Qatar6%
Match #28
Mexico84.1%
South Korea15.9%
Match #29
Brazil100%
Haiti0%
Match #30
Scotland0%
Morocco100%
Match #31
Turkey98.8%
Paraguay1.2%
Match #32
United States88.3%
Australia11.7%
Match #33
Germany100%
Ivory Coast0%
Match #34
Ecuador99.1%
Curacao0.9%
Match #35
Netherlands100%
Sweden0%
Match #36
Tunisia0%
Japan100%
Match #37
Uruguay99.4%
Cape Verde0.6%
Match #38
Spain100%
Saudi Arabia0%
Match #39
Belgium91.3%
Iran8.7%
Match #40
New Zealand0.3%
Egypt99.7%
Match #41
Norway1.2%
Senegal98.8%
Match #42
France100%
Iraq0%
Match #43
Argentina100%
Austria0%
Match #44
Jordan0.3%
Algeria99.7%
Match #45
England100%
Ghana0%
Match #46
Panama0.6%
Croatia99.4%
Match #47
Portugal100%
Uzbekistan0%
Match #48
Colombia98.8%
DR Congo1.2%
Match #49
Scotland0%
Brazil100%
Match #50
Morocco100%
Haiti0%
Match #51
Switzerland90.4%
Canada9.6%
Match #52
Bosnia and Herzegovina33.5%
Qatar66.5%
Match #53
Czechia0.3%
Mexico99.7%
Match #54
South Africa0.3%
South Korea99.7%
Match #55
Curacao1.2%
Ivory Coast98.8%
Match #56
Ecuador2.4%
Germany97.6%
Match #57
Japan98.8%
Sweden1.2%
Match #58
Tunisia0%
Netherlands100%
Match #59
Turkey29.6%
United States70.4%
Match #60
Paraguay10.5%
Australia89.5%
Match #61
Norway0%
France100%
Match #62
Senegal100%
Iraq0%
Match #63
Egypt23.7%
Iran76.3%
Match #64
New Zealand0.3%
Belgium99.7%
Match #65
Cape Verde38.3%
Saudi Arabia61.7%
Match #66
Uruguay2.1%
Spain97.9%
Match #67
Panama0.3%
England99.7%
Match #68
Croatia100%
Ghana0%
Match #69
Algeria30.8%
Austria69.2%
Match #70
Jordan0%
Argentina100%
Match #71
Colombia6%
Portugal94%
Match #72
DR Congo8.4%
Uzbekistan91.6%
Match #73
South Korea42.6%
Canada40%
Match #74
Germany60.9%
Australia17.1%
Match #75
Netherlands48.8%
Morocco27.1%
Match #76
Brazil42.4%
Japan34.4%
Match #77
France68.8%
Sweden15.9%
Match #78
Ecuador27.4%
Senegal65%
Match #79
Mexico54.9%
Ivory Coast16.8%
Match #80
England73.8%
Norway7.9%
Match #81
United States39.4%
Algeria21.2%
Match #82
Belgium65%
Czechia16.5%
Match #83
Colombia48.5%
Croatia42.1%
Match #84
Spain70%
Austria17.4%
Match #85
Switzerland49.4%
Egypt30.6%
Match #86
Argentina66.5%
Uruguay31.8%
Match #87
Portugal61.8%
Panama22.6%
Match #88
Turkey21.8%
Iran32.4%
Match #89
Germany22.4%
France48.8%
Match #90
South Korea12.4%
Netherlands30.6%
Match #91
Brazil28.2%
Senegal30.9%
Match #92
Mexico18.2%
England45%
Match #93
Colombia21.2%
Spain41.8%
Match #94
United States23.2%
Belgium34.4%
Match #95
Argentina44.4%
Iran11.2%
Match #96
Switzerland22.4%
Portugal39.1%
Match #97
France33.5%
Netherlands14.1%
Match #98
Spain30.3%
Belgium16.5%
Match #99
Senegal16.2%
England27.1%
Match #100
Argentina25.6%
Portugal16.8%
Match #101
France11.2%
Spain20.3%
Match #102
England12.6%
Argentina17.4%
Match #103
France15.6%
England5.6%
Match #104
Spain15.9%
Argentina7.4%